JUL 10 - Tendency towards above average precipitation in southern WI.
JUL 7 - Near normal precipitation, above average temperatures. Latest forecasts show above average temperature to continue in July.
JUL 1 - No changes at this time.
JUN 8 - Sticking to N or B precipitation forecast for the region but there looks to be wet spots due to convective thunderstorm activity. Temperature forecast has been brought back to Normal suggesting no strong signals either way.
MAY 22 - Removed B- precip zone from Iowa, still expecting near or below average precipitation amounts in July. Given tendency towards wetter than average conditions throughout the last few years and my newness to this process...I'm backing off the dry signal. I'm not sure how localized convective thunderstorms would show up in the historical data. It would be normal for some spots to be very wet, others drier. We'll find out.
MAY 5 - warmest days between 7/5 to 7/15 and 7/18 to 7/24. There could be a cold shot or two but for the most part expect
above average temperatures to be common.
APR 28 - Based on the evolution out of spring, May to June with June being active month across the upper Mississippi Valley...analogs suggest July will be relatively quiet. Near normal to above average temperatures across much of the country including Wisconsin. July is looking dry and warm overall.
The character of the severe weather season will likely change from MCS systems in June to more cellular modes. There will be areas of Wisconsin that are wetter than the rest. The precipitation forecast looks worse than it probably will be for most areas. Pretty typical signal for July.