WEDS 9:15AM - I believe the GFS is an outlier and sided with 06NAM/00EC blend suggesting an early morning round. Redevelopment off to the south in IL Thursday afternoon. I pulled the Strong zone into far southeast WI as models suggest perhaps some intensification around/south of Milwaukee with the morning activity...also if afternoon redevelopment somehow happens further north the map will have it covered. Mainly a CYA move.
TUES 10:15AM - Scattered thunderstorms are possible on Thursday, early AM most likely. The afternoon chances are uncertain. NAM is limiting to the morning hours while the GFS allows for redevelopment during the PM.
The 06GFS is the worst case scenario indicating two rounds with a piece of energy coming through during the afternoon. Seems iffy. Right now we're on the backhalf of the NAM forecast range so I wouldn't totally rule out the GFS idea. Prefer to watch and wait.
If thunderstorms form during the afternoon, the shear profile is mainly unidirectional so the main threats would be low-key large hail or damaging winds gusts. Any morning activity would be elevated and weaker by comparison.
CONCLUSION - it all hinges on whether afternoon redevelopment will occur. I'm skeptical.