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NOV 11, 2019 | Veterans Day Snow for Southern WI

LAST UPDATE : NOV 10, 2019

Going into the weekend this was not on the radar. Things have evolved quickly this weekend. Favorable timing for accumulation. The timing with morning commute raises the impact. Should be mostly finished before noon on Monday.

All models have primary axis for snow across northern Illinois; through the Chicago area into lower Michigan. Short range models indicate the potential for 6, 7, or even 8" amounts locally in that area. In southern Wisconsin however we're looking at 3-5". A narrow gradient from 3-5", down to 1" or less is likely around the Wisconsin Dells area. Can't say I'm 100% confident I've put the gradient in the right place, it could end up further south.

NAM snowfall prediction through noon Wednesday
NAM snowfall prediction through noon Wednesday

I was careful to keep Milwaukee in the 1-3". Models all show warmer temps along the lakeshore so I've reduced snow accumulations there.

Confidence is below average because of the quick escalation over the weekend and relative lack of run to run consistency, though the last couple runs have been trending this way. Little risky but gotta stick to our guns.

Lake effect continues in Upper Michigan. Another situation where with more time I would probably do a separate forecast. I'm satisfied with how the map looks and know folks in the area will be on top of it.

JP

Forecast Maps

Snow


Verification


Storm Details

Hazards
Heavy Snow
Start
SUN 9:00 PM - Nov 10, 2019
End
MON 12:00 PM - Nov 11, 2019
Confidence Level
Storm Class

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November 10, 2019

24HR Radar Loop
24HR Radar Loop
Snow Accumulation 24Hr
Wind Gusts
Storm Reports

November 11, 2019

24HR Radar Loop
24HR Radar Loop
Wind Gusts
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Storm Reports

SNOW (63)
HEAVY SNOW
HEAVY SNOW
GILE, WI
9.5"
HEAVY SNOW
HEAVY SNOW
UPSON, WI
8.8"
SNOW
SNOW
PENCE, WI
6.2"
SNOW
SNOW
BRODHEAD, WI
5.0"
SNOW
SNOW
1 N BRISTOL, WI
4.2"
SNOW
SNOW
CASSVILLE, WI
4.0"
SNOW
SNOW
ROCHESTER, WI
4.0"
SNOW
SNOW
EVANSVILLE, WI
4.0"
SNOW
SNOW
GRATIOT, WI
4.0"
SNOW
SNOW
EAST TROY, WI
3.5"
SNOW
SNOW
2 NW WINTHROP HARBOR, WI
3.5"
SNOW
SNOW
3 NNE VERONA, WI
3.3"
SNOW
SNOW
1 ESE BELOIT, WI
3.3"
SNOW
SNOW
2 SE BIG BEND, WI
3.1"
SNOW
SNOW
JANESVILLE, WI
3.0"
SNOW
SNOW
PLEASANT PRAIRIE, WI
3.0"
SNOW
SNOW
MADISON, WI
2.9"
SNOW
SNOW
4 WSW LANCASTER, WI
2.8"
SNOW
SNOW
6 SE DODGEVILLE, WI
2.8"
SNOW
SNOW
3 WNW BEAVER DAM, WI
2.6"
SNOW
SNOW
2 NNW CEDARBURG, WI
2.6"
SNOW
SNOW
2 S DOUSMAN, WI
2.5"
SNOW
SNOW
12 W LAND O LAKES, WI
2.4"
SNOW
SNOW
2 NW WIND LAKE, WI
2.2"
SNOW
SNOW
2 WNW SLINGER, WI
2.2"
SNOW
SNOW
7 WNW PALMYRA, WI
2.0"
SNOW
SNOW
1 SW SHOREWOOD, WI
2.0"
SNOW
SNOW
1 W PLATTEVILLE, WI
2.0"
SNOW
SNOW
ELKHORN, WI
2.0"
SNOW
SNOW
1 NNW PLEASANT PRAIRIE, WI
1.9"
SNOW
SNOW
2 WSW SLINGER, WI
1.8"
SNOW
SNOW
3 N KOHLER, WI
1.7"
SNOW
SNOW
COLUMBUS, WI
1.6"
SNOW
SNOW
GILE, WI
1.5"
SNOW
SNOW
CEDARBURG, WI
1.5"
SNOW
SNOW
2 SW OMRO, WI
1.4"
SNOW
SNOW
OCONOMOWOC, WI
1.4"
SNOW
SNOW
MANITOWISH WATERS, WI
1.3"
SNOW
SNOW
3 SSW JOHNSON CREEK, WI
1.3"
SNOW
SNOW
3 SE JACKSON, WI
1.2"
SNOW
SNOW
2 SW SHEBOYGAN, WI
1.2"
SNOW
SNOW
1 SSW SHEBOYGAN, WI
1.2"
SNOW
SNOW
TWO RIVERS, WI
1.2"
Snow
SNOW
OSHKOSH, WI
1.2"
SNOW
SNOW
NEW HOLSTEIN, WI
1.1"
SNOW
SNOW
ASHWAUBENON, WI
1.1"
SNOW
SNOW
BEAVER DAM, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
BRILLION, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
2 NE OSHKOSH, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
2 SW SHOREWOOD HILLS, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
LAKE TOMAHAWK, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
EAGLE RIVER, WI
1.0"
SNOW
SNOW
ARBOR VITAE, WI
0.9"
SNOW
SNOW
POY SIPPI, WI
0.9"
SNOW
SNOW
1 NNE PRAIRIE DU CHIEN, WI
0.8"
SNOW
SNOW
APPLETON, WI
0.7"
SNOW
SNOW
5 WSW WARRENS, WI
0.7"
SNOW
SNOW
ST GERMAIN, WI
0.6"
SNOW
SNOW
FORESTVILLE, WI
0.6"
SNOW
SNOW
GOTHAM, WI
0.5"
SNOW
SNOW
5 W RIPLINGER, WI
0.5"
SNOW
SNOW
1 WNW MOUNT ZION, WI
0.2"
SNOW
SNOW
MUSCODA, WI
0.1"