• News
  • 7-Day
  • Storms
  • Updates
  • Weekly
  • Monthly
  • Local
Wisconsin Weather

SEP 3, 2019 | Damaging Winds Possible Tonight Early Tuesday AM

11:15PM -

10:38PM -

TUES AM |*EARLY TUES AM* | - While the environment is not super supportive of severe weather, the combination of organized thunderstorm activity PLUS strengthening mid level jet will make damaging wind gusts possible across much of Wisconsin. I don't think this will be a major event; just a large zone where winds could be potentially strong/severe.

Model simulation for early Tuesday AM (around 3am)
Model simulation for early Tuesday AM (around 3am)

The MOST LIKELY corridor will cross through Minneapolis MN southeast into western WI. Cannot rule out strong/damaging wind gusts into northern/NE/eastern WI or Michigan (due to dynamics). 12Z models today are pretty aggressive.

I prefer the less aggressive/weaker NAM 3k and NMMB. NAM and HRRR appear to be outliers. Likely to be some convective contamination in advance of the storms. Timing is very early during diurnal minimum. Just not 100% sure and model agreement on placement could be better. Will see how it develops across Minnesota tomorrow and go from there.

TUES AFT - Parameters and wind profiles remain strong into the early afternoon over eastern Wisconsin however the main dynamics/forcing will move out with morning storms. A little too quick. Wouldn't be surprised to see a couple isolated t-storms during the afternoon. Not expecting severe weather.

Forecast Maps

Thunderstorm Outlooks

Thunderstorms
General
Strong
Severe
Significant

Verification


Storm Details

Hazards
Severe Thunderstorms
Last Update
LAST UPDATE | SEPTEMBER 2
Start
MON 10:00 PM - Sep 02, 2019
End
TUE 12:00 PM - Sep 03, 2019
Confidence Level
Storm Class
Forecaster
Justin Poublon

Storm Reports

TORNADO & FUNNEL CLOUD (1)
TORNADO
TORNADO
1 NNE POTOSI, WI
-
WIND GUSTS (3)
TSTM WND GST
TSTM WND GST
POTOSI, WI
40 MPH
TSTM WND DMG
TSTM WND DMG
4 S LANCASTER, WI
-
TSTM WND DMG
TSTM WND DMG
4 WSW ELLENBORO, WI
-
LARGE HAIL (13)
HAIL
HAIL
2 E BAGLEY, WI
0.5"
HAIL
HAIL
2 SW PLATTEVILLE, WI
0.5"
HAIL
HAIL
PATCH GROVE, WI
0.5"
HAIL
HAIL
MONDOVI, WI
0.5"
HAIL
HAIL
ONEIDA, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
TREMPEALEAU, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
4 NNW NEW POST, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
BOSCOBEL, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
BUTTERNUT, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
COLBY, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
5 SSW SPARTA, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
1 SW SPARTA, WI
0.25"
HAIL
HAIL
1 ENE RICHLAND CENTER, WI
0.25"
HEAVY RAIN (30)
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
PELL LAKE, WI
1.75"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 ENE LAKE GENEVA, WI
1.71"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 E ELMWOOD PARK, WI
1.7"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NNW PLEASANT PRAIRIE, WI
1.7"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
3 N PLEASANT PRAIRIE, WI
1.69"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
3 SW KENOSHA, WI
1.52"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 SSE LAKE GENEVA, WI
1.52"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 ENE ELMWOOD PARK, WI
1.42"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 WNW PELL LAKE, WI
1.42"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NE UNION GROVE, WI
1.4"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
2 W NORTH BAY, WI
1.38"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
2 W CUDAHY, WI
1.24"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 W MUSKEGO, WI
1.24"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 SE SOUTH MILWAUKEE, WI
1.23"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
5 N UNION GROVE, WI
1.23"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 ESE BELOIT, WI
1.22"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 ENE PLEASANT PRAIRIE, WI
1.2"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
CUDAHY, WI
1.19"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
GENOA CITY, WI
1.19"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NNW OAK CREEK, WI
1.15"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NE WIND LAKE, WI
1.12"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 SW RACINE, WI
1.1"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NNW SAINT FRANCIS, WI
1.07"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 ENE GREENDALE, WI
1.04"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 WNW BURLINGTON, WI
1.01"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 NE PRAIRIE DU CHIEN, WI
0.72"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
SINSINAWA, WI
0.45"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
EASTMAN, WI
0.37"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
1 S DE SOTO, WI
0.31"
HEAVY RAIN
HEAVY RAIN
5 NNW PLATTEVILLE, WI
0.15"
SNOW (1)
SNOW
SNOW
7 ESE SUPERIOR, WI
1.6"
OTHER (1)
FLOOD
FLOOD
GREEN BAY, WI
-
© 2020 Wisconsin Weather Group | All Rights Reserved
v9.57
Designed for Google Chrome